Abedallah Shelbayh vs Marc PolmansMallorca Qualifying Final

Mallorca · ATP · Qualifying Final
1409ELO
1422Grass ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 21 June 2026 ·
grass
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#360ATP
1435ELO
1440Grass ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLLW
Shelbayh A.
3-6 6-7
Polmans M.
Shelbayh A.
3640
Polmans M.
6772

A decisive break in the first set settled it as Marc Polmans got past Abedallah Shelbayh 6-3 7-6 in the Mallorca qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 1: A 13-point game with four deuces went Abedallah Shelbayh's way.
  • Set 2, game 1: Abedallah Shelbayh saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Abedallah Shelbayh converted 2 of 6 break points; Marc Polmans converted 3 of 10 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Shelbayh A.
Polmans M.
Break points won
2/6
3/10
Break points saved
7/10
4/6

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Shelbayh A.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Polmans M.

Polmans M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Shelbayh A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
24
Break points saved·Slight edge
74
79
Break points won·Clear edge
31
10
Deciding sets·Clear edge
54
31
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
22
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC
Shelbayh A.33%
Polmans M.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Polmans M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1422
Surface ELO
5.2+18 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1408
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1435
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
73
76

Shelbayh A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Polmans M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
36°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 20%