Diane Parry vs Irina Camelia Begu

Bad Homburg · WTA · Qualifying Final

FRA

Diane Parry

#60WTA

1720ELO

1658Grass ELO

23 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWLWWWL

—

Sets

Sunday, 21 June 2026 · 11:00

grass

ROU

Irina Camelia Begu

#213WTA

1759ELO

1605Grass ELO

35 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLWWWWW

Parry D.

Begu I.

Diane Parry faces Irina Camelia Begu in the Bad Homburg qualifying final on grass. Diane Parry holds the paper edge — ranked #60, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:22 UTC

Parry D.55%

Begu I.45%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Diane Parry dropped just 3 games past Aoi Ito.
Last match: Irina Camelia Begu dropped just 5 games past Tamara Korpatsch.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Madrid 2025.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Parry D.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Begu I.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.7+53 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.3Grass Elo 1605

5.8Overall Elo 1720

ELO gap

4.2Overall Elo 1759

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

8.08 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.96 of last 10 on grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Parry D.Surging

Begu I.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 2 matches

Statistics

This season

Parry D.Begu I.

1st serve in·Slight edge

59%

69%

1st serve points won·Dominant

69%

42%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

46%

32%

Service points won·Clear edge

59%

39%

Return points won·Even

41%

40%

Break points saved·Slight edge

53%

42%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.0

2.0

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.5

1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Parry D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Begu I.

Begu I.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Parry D.

Serve advantage — Parry D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About