Darja Vidmanova vs Ayla Aksu — Figueira Da Foz Final
Vidmanova D.
Darja Vidmanova faces Ayla Aksu in the Figueira Da Foz final on hard. Darja Vidmanova holds the paper edge — ranked #108, a roughly 140-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:22 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Vidmanova D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Darja Vidmanova comes in with 1 days of rest and 186 games in 14d, vs Ayla Aksu's 1 and 45.
- Win streak: Both arrive in form — Darja Vidmanova on a 4-match run, Ayla Aksu on 3.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadVidmanova D.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d) · Aksu A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.