Linda Noskova vs Alexandra EalaBerlin Semi-final

Berlin · WTA · Semi-final
#13WTA
1948ELO
1776Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.7MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWLWWW
Sets
Saturday, 20 June 2026 ·
grass
STEFFI GRAF STADION · 2nd on
#35WTA
1874ELO
1795Grass ELO
$787kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWWWW
Noskova L.
vs
Eala A.

Linda Noskova faces Alexandra Eala in the Berlin semi-final on grass. Linda Noskova holds the paper edge — ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:21 UTC
Noskova L.58%
Eala A.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Grass Elo 1776
Surface ELO
5.2+19 Grass Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1948
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1874
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
9.19 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Eala A.Surging

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Noskova L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Eala A.

Eala A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
75
Break points won·Even
92
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
94
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Serve & return on grass

Noskova L.Eala A.
53
Serve
32
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
66

Noskova L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Eala A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on STEFFI GRAF STADION · not before Not before 2:00 PM · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Sabalenka A. v Pegula J.
  2. 2Noskova L. v Eala A.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
26°CRain
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardLinda Noskova6-2 6-0