Irina Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatsch — Bad Homburg Qualifying Semi-final
Begu I.
Irina Camelia Begu faces Tamara Korpatsch in the Bad Homburg qualifying semi-final on grass. Tamara Korpatsch holds the paper edge — ranked #78. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Begu I. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Irina Camelia Begu has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 66 vs Tamara Korpatsch's 42).
- Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at US Open 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadKorpatsch T.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on COURT 1 · not before Starting at 11:00 AM · up next on court
- 1Begu I. v Korpatsch T.This match
- 2Sierra S. v Seidel E.
- 3Zarazua R. v Thamm M.
- 4Badosa P. v Kraus S.
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | R128 | hard | Tamara Korpatsch | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-07-11 | Lausanne | R32 | clay | Irina Camelia Begu | 6-4 6-2 |