Laslo Djere vs Sebastian OfnerParma Semi-final

Parma · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#225ATP
1709ELO
1723Clay ELO
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLWWW
Sets
Friday, 19 June 2026 ·
clay
#123ATP
1696ELO
1659Clay ELO
$324kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLLLWL
Djere L.
vs
Ofner S.

Laslo Djere faces Sebastian Ofner in the Parma semi-final on clay. Sebastian Ofner is the paper favourite — ranked #123 — but Laslo Djere arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 9 on clay to Sebastian Ofner's 4.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Djere L.57%
Ofner S.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1659
5.2Overall Elo 1709
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1696
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
8.5Excels in hot weather
Heat performance

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Djere L.Cooling
Ofner S.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 31 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
40%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.1
7.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Djere L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Ofner S.

Ofner S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Djere L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
69
Break points saved·Even
97
93
Break points won·Slight edge
53
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
39
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
79

Djere L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
33°CMainly clear
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.