Jeline Vandromme vs Ayla AksuFigueira Da Foz Quarter-final

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#171WTA
1705ELO
1701Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WWLWLLLWWW
Sets
Friday, 19 June 2026 ·
hard
CENTRAL · 3rd on
#277WTA
1457ELO
1447Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWLL
Vandromme J.
vs
Aksu A.

Jeline Vandromme faces Ayla Aksu in the Figueira Da Foz quarter-final on hard. Jeline Vandromme holds the paper edge — ranked #171, a roughly 250-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Vandromme J.72%
Aksu A.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vandromme J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+253 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Hard Elo 1447
7.3Overall Elo 1705
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1457
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
10.010 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

33 vs 25 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vandromme J.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Aksu A.

Aksu A.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Vandromme J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
92

Vandromme J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Aksu A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on CENTRAL · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead

  1. 1Vidmanova D. v Teichmann J.
  2. 2Bandecchi S. v Charaeva A.
  3. 3Vandromme J. v Aksu A.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.