Titouan Droguet vs Stefanos SakellaridisDublin Quarter-final

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#112ATP
1710ELO
1598Grass ELO
$273kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWWWL
Sets
Thursday, 18 June 2026 ·
grass
#153ATP
1657ELO
1579Grass ELO
$122kYTD
$338kCAREER
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWWWW
Droguet T.
vs
Sakellaridis S.

Titouan Droguet faces Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Dublin quarter-final on grass. Titouan Droguet holds the paper edge — ranked #112, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:22 UTC
Droguet T.67%
Sakellaridis S.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Droguet T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+20 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1578
5.7Overall Elo 1710
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1657
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

32 vs 36 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.2
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Droguet T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Sakellaridis S.

Sakellaridis S.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Droguet T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
44
Break points saved·Dominant
88
63
Break points won·Slight edge
17
9
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
83

Droguet T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Sakellaridis S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 79%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.