Anastasia Kulikova vs Alina Charaeva — Figueira Da Foz Round of 16
Kulikova A.
Anastasia Kulikova faces Alina Charaeva in the Figueira Da Foz round of 16 on hard. Alina Charaeva is the paper favourite — ranked #129, a roughly 280-point hard Elo advantage — but Anastasia Kulikova rides a 4-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Charaeva A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Anastasia Kulikova comes in with 1 days of rest and 42 games in 14d, vs Alina Charaeva's 1 and 98.
- Last match: Alina Charaeva lost just 0 games in a 6–0 6–0 demolition of Manon Leonard.
- Last match: Anastasia Kulikova dropped the opening set before beating Mai Hontama 4–6 6–3 6–4.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadKulikova A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Charaeva A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.