Chun Hsin Tseng vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Parma Round of 16
Tseng C.
Chun Hsin Tseng faces Oriol Roca Batalla in the Parma round of 16 on clay. Chun Hsin Tseng is the paper favourite — ranked #245, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage — but Oriol Roca Batalla arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Chun Hsin Tseng's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Tseng C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Chun Hsin Tseng comes in with 5 days of rest and 104 games in 14d, vs Oriol Roca Batalla's 1 and 134.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Chun Hsin Tseng has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 27 vs 5).
- Last match: Chun Hsin Tseng handed Juan Cruz Martin Manzano a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTseng C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Roca Batalla O.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.