Susan Bandecchi vs Katarina KuzmovaFigueira Da Foz Round of 16

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#171WTA
1571ELO
1509Hard ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWLWWW
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
hard
#301WTA
1263ELO
1273Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
WLWWLWWWLL
Bandecchi S.
vs
Kuzmova K.

Susan Bandecchi faces Katarina Kuzmova in the Figueira Da Foz round of 16 on hard. Susan Bandecchi holds the paper edge — ranked #171, a roughly 240-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC
Bandecchi S.88%
Kuzmova K.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bandecchi S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.0+236 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1273
6.1Overall Elo 1571
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1263
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 38 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bandecchi S.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kuzmova K.

Kuzmova K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Bandecchi S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
58
58
Break points saved·Even
54
50
Break points won·Slight edge
77
69
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
92
Tiebreaks·
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
100

Bandecchi S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Kuzmova K.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 83%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.