Ayla Aksu vs Sachia VickeryFigueira Da Foz Round of 16

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#277WTA
1457ELO
1447Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 17 June 2026 ·
hard
#692WTA
1501ELO
1461Hard ELO
31 yrs · 162 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLWLL
Aksu A.
vs
Vickery S.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Aksu A.36%
Vickery S.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vickery S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1447
Surface ELO
5.2+14 Hard Elo edge
8.1Overall Elo 1457
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1501
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Aksu A.Stable
Vickery S.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
38%
Break points saved·Even
52%
48%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Aksu A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Vickery S.

Vickery S.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Aksu A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Vickery S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.