Michele Ribecai vs Henri Squire — Poznan Round of 32
Ribecai M.
Michele Ribecai faces Henri Squire in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Henri Squire holds the paper edge — ranked #238, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Squire H. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Michele Ribecai 63 games in 14 days, Henri Squire 80.
- Form trend: Henri Squire's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Michele Ribecai's has cooled.
- Surface form: Michele Ribecai 4 of 10, Henri Squire 6 of 10 on clay recently — Henri Squire the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRibecai M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Squire H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.