Alexander Shevchenko vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Poznan Round of 32
Shevchenko A.
Alexander Shevchenko faces Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Alexander Shevchenko holds the paper edge — ranked #97, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shevchenko A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alexander Shevchenko comes in with 1 days of rest and 132 games in 14d, vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri's 11 and 44.
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Alexander Shevchenko has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 78 vs 18).
- Surface form: Alexander Shevchenko 5 of 10, Genaro Alberto Olivieri 4 of 10 on clay recently — Alexander Shevchenko the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShevchenko A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 82 games (7d) · Olivieri G.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.