Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Max Hans RehbergPoznan Round of 32

Poznan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#202ATP
1513ELO
1492Clay ELO
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWWLW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
clay
#526ATP
1507ELO
1428Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWLLW
Olivieri G.
vs
Rehberg M.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri faces Max Hans Rehberg in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Genaro Alberto Olivieri holds the paper edge — ranked #202, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:21 UTC
Olivieri G.45%
Rehberg M.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+63 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1428
5.1Overall Elo 1513
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1506
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

27 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
76%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
70%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Olivieri G.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Rehberg M.

Rehberg M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Olivieri G.

Serve advantage — Rehberg M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
26
36
Break points saved·Dominant
25
82
Break points won·Clear edge
20
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
28
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
40

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
88

Olivieri G.: 12 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Rehberg M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
15°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 54%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.