Rio Noguchi vs Clement TaburDublin Round of 32

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#223ATP
1560ELO
1435Grass ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLLWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#190ATP
1618ELO
1478Grass ELO
$197kYTD
$638kCAREER
26 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWWWL
Noguchi R.
vs
Tabur C.

Rio Noguchi faces Clement Tabur in the Dublin round of 32 on grass. Clement Tabur holds the paper edge — ranked #190, a roughly 40-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Noguchi R.34%
Tabur C.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Tabur C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.5Grass Elo 1435
Surface ELO
5.5+44 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Tabur C.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Noguchi R.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tabur C.

Tabur C.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
23
36
Break points saved·Dominant
25
74
Break points won·Even
26
23
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
52
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
79

Noguchi R.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Tabur C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 61%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.