Katarina Kuzmova vs Viktoria MorvayovaFigueira Da Foz Round of 32

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#301WTA
1215ELO
1228Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
LWWWLLWWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
hard
#307WTA
1400ELO
1388Hard ELO
25 yrs
Last 10
LWLWLWLLWW
Kuzmova K.
vs
Morvayova V.

Katarina Kuzmova faces Viktoria Morvayova in the Figueira Da Foz round of 32 on hard. Katarina Kuzmova holds the paper edge — ranked #301.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Kuzmova K.14%
Morvayova V.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Morvayova V. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1228
Surface ELO
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1215
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0Last match 1h31m
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

35 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kuzmova K.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Morvayova V.

Morvayova V.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Kuzmova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.