Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya — Berlin Round of 32
Svitolina E.
Elina Svitolina faces Anna Kalinskaya in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Elina Svitolina leads the head-to-head 3–1; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Doha 2026.
- Fatigue load: Elina Svitolina carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadSvitolina E.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Kalinskaya A.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
3–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Doha | R16 | hard | Anna Kalinskaya | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Montreal | R32 | hard | Elina Svitolina | 6-1 6-1 |
| 2025-02-17 | Dubai | R64 | hard | Elina Svitolina | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2024-05-06 | Rome | R32 | clay | Elina Svitolina | 6-3 6-3 |