Matilde Jorge vs Jil TeichmannFigueira Da Foz Round of 32

Figueira Da Foz · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#260WTA
1403ELO
1414Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLLLL
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
hard
#131WTA
1645ELO
1610Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWLWWWLW
Jorge M.
vs
Teichmann J.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Jorge M.11%
Teichmann J.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Teichmann J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1414
Surface ELO
7.5+196 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1403
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1645
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
73%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
48%
Service points won·Even
52%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
56%
44%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
0.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Jorge M.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Teichmann J.

Teichmann J.serving51% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Jorge M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Teichmann J.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.