Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro — Halle Round of 32
JPNSE
Griekspoor T.
Tallon Griekspoor faces Sho Shimabukuro in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Tallon Griekspoor holds the paper edge — ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Griekspoor T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Sho Shimabukuro carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Tallon Griekspoor leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Astana 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGriekspoor T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Shimabukuro S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-25 | Astana | R16 | hard | Tallon Griekspoor | 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-1 |