Norbert Gombos vs Olle WallinPoznan Round of 32

Poznan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#365ATP
1477ELO
1462Clay ELO
35 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLWLWL
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
clay
#433ATP
1319ELO
1312Clay ELO
24 yrs
Last 10
LWLLLWLLLL
Gombos N.
vs
Wallin O.

Norbert Gombos faces Olle Wallin in the Poznan round of 32 on clay. Norbert Gombos holds the paper edge — ranked #365, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:21 UTC
Gombos N.68%
Wallin O.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gombos N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Norbert Gombos carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 1 of 4 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.9+150 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Clay Elo 1312
7.0Overall Elo 1477
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1319
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Gombos N.Stable
Wallin O.Not enough recent matches

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
54%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gombos N.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Wallin O.

Wallin O.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gombos N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Gombos N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.