Mark Lajal vs Ugo BlanchetDublin Round of 32

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#154ATP
1598ELO
1587Grass ELO
$55kYTD
$612kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWLWWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#173ATP
1536ELO
1445Grass ELO
$75kYTD
$945kCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLWWLL
Lajal M.
vs
Blanchet U.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:20 UTC
Lajal M.79%
Blanchet U.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lajal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+141 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1445
5.8Overall Elo 1598
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1536
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Lajal M.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 24 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lajal M.serving91% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Blanchet U.

Blanchet U.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Lajal M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
44
36
Break points saved·Even
89
89
Break points won·Even
12
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
47
14
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
45
90

Lajal M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 140 games (7d) · Blanchet U.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 69%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.