Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritz — Halle Round of 32

Halle · ATP · Round of 32

BEL

Zizou Bergs

#40ATP

1785ELO

1656Grass ELO

$861kYTD

$3.8MCAREER

27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWLWLWWW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 16 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

USA

Taylor Fritz

#9ATP

1868ELO

1808Grass ELO

$1.1MYTD

$30MCAREER

28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWLLLWWL

Bergs Z.

Fritz T.

Zizou Bergs faces Taylor Fritz in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Taylor Fritz holds the paper edge — ranked #9, a roughly 150-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC

Bergs Z.23%

Fritz T.77%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fritz T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Fatigue load: Taylor Fritz carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Stage: Zizou Bergs defends last year's round of 32.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Bergs Z.

5.7

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Fritz T.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.1Grass Elo 1656

Surface ELO

6.9+152 Grass Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 1785

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 1868

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.34 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.68 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

6.0Reached the R32 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Bergs Z.Rising

Fritz T.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season

Bergs Z.Fritz T.

1st serve in·Clear edge

57%

69%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

73%

80%

2nd serve points won·Even

53%

51%

Service points won·Slight edge

64%

71%

Return points won·Even

36%

33%

Break points saved·Slight edge

63%

68%

Aces / match·Dominant

7.0

15.9

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.1

1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Bergs Z.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Bergs Z.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Bergs Z.Fritz T.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Slight edge

100

Break points won·Dominant

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load

Bergs Z.Fritz T.

Freshness·Dominant

Bergs Z.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

16°COvercast

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.