Katerina Siniakova vs Lin ZhuBerlin Qualifying Final

Berlin · WTA · Qualifying Final
#36WTA
1846ELO
1733Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 6th on
Lin Zhu
CHNALT
#142WTA
1674ELO
1545Grass ELO
32 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Siniakova K.
6-4 6-2
Zhu L.
Siniakova K.
662
Zhu L.
420

Katerina Siniakova cruised past Lin Zhu, conceding only six games, in the Berlin qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 1: Katerina Siniakova broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Katerina Siniakova converted 5 of 6 break points; Lin Zhu converted 2 of 2 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Siniakova K.
Zhu L.
Break points won
5/6
2/2
Break points saved
0/2
1/6

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Zhu L.

Zhu L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Serve advantage — Zhu L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
37
Break points saved·Slight edge
75
64
Break points won·Even
94
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
15
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Siniakova K.81%
Zhu L.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Siniakova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+202 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Grass Elo 1532
6.5Overall Elo 1845
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1668
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.9Won 65% in DEU (23)
Country comfort
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
99

Siniakova K.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Zhu L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 46%