Elias Ymer vs Henry SearleDublin Round of 32

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#184ATP
1570ELO
1519Grass ELO
$145kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#346ATP
1340ELO
1346Grass ELO
20 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWWWLL

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Ymer E.92%
Searle H.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ymer E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+172 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Grass Elo 1346
7.9Overall Elo 1570
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1340
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
2.83 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
61%1st serve in+2%63%
73%1st serve points won+2%71%
51%2nd serve points won+2%49%
64%Service points won+1%63%
35%Return points won+1%36%
63%Break points saved63%
5.3Aces / match+1.77
2.3Double faults / match+0.32.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.