Rio Noguchi vs Hamish StewartDublin Qualifying Final

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#223ATP
1560ELO
1435Grass ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWWLW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 3 · 2nd on
#310ATP
1503ELO
1513Grass ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWWW
Noguchi R.
vs
Stewart H.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Noguchi R.44%
Stewart H.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1435
Surface ELO
6.0+78 Grass Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

29 vs 15 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
65%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
9.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Noguchi R.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Stewart H.

Stewart H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Noguchi R.

Serve advantage — Stewart H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
73

Noguchi R.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Stewart H.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 3 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Hewitt C. v Vandecasteele Q.
  2. 2Noguchi R. v Stewart H.This match
  3. 3Ficovich J. v Mejia N.

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.