Carole Monnet vs Martina TrevisanBrescia Round of 32

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#191WTA
1508ELO
1499Clay ELO
24 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWLLLW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#422WTA
1462ELO
1455Clay ELO
32 yrs · 160 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWLWLLLWWW
Monnet C.
vs
Trevisan M.

Carole Monnet faces Martina Trevisan in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Carole Monnet holds the paper edge — ranked #191, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Monnet C.58%
Trevisan M.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Carole Monnet carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Carole Monnet 4 of 9, Martina Trevisan 5 of 9 on clay recently — Martina Trevisan the sharper of late.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+44 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1455
5.9Overall Elo 1508
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1462
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

22 vs 14 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
55%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
33%
Service points won·Even
52%
49%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
50%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.1
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Monnet C.serving32% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Trevisan M.

Trevisan M.serving35% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Monnet C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
4
50
Break points saved·Clear edge
32
50
Break points won·Clear edge
76
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
1
51
Tiebreaks·
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
88

Monnet C.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Trevisan M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.