Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohankova — Berlin Qualifying Final
Masarova R.
Rebeka Masarova faces Mia Pohankova in the Berlin qualifying final on grass. Rebeka Masarova holds the paper edge — ranked #140, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 120-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Masarova R. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Rebeka Masarova 149 games in 14 days, Mia Pohankova 57.
- Last match: Rebeka Masarova dropped the opening set before beating Noma Noha Akugue 4–6 6–1 6–2.
- Stage: Rebeka Masarova defends last year's round of 16.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadMasarova R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Pohankova M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
4th on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 3 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Lamens S. v Galfi D.
- 2Timofeeva M. v Zarazua R.
- 3Marcinko P. v Ito A.
- 4Masarova R. v Pohankova M.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.