Pedro Martinez vs Daniel Rincon — Parma Round of 32
Parma · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#139ATP
1599ELO
1578Clay ELO
$270kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWLLL
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Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Pedro Martinez faces Daniel Rincon in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Pedro Martinez holds the paper edge — ranked #139, a roughly 170-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Pedro Martinez carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCMartinez P.68%
Rincon D.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Martinez P. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
7.1+172 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO2.9Clay Elo 1406
6.6Overall Elo 1599
ELO gap3.4Overall Elo 1470
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set countContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form67%1st serve in+9%58%
63%1st serve points won+1%62%
47%2nd serve points won+2%45%
58%Service points won+3%55%
40%Return points won+2%42%
57%Break points saved+4%53%
1Aces / match+1.62.6
2.6Double faults / match+0.71.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.