Petra Marcinko vs Renata ZarazuaBerlin Qualifying Final

Berlin · WTA · Qualifying Final
#50WTA
1704ELO
1452Grass ELO
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10
WLWLWLWWWW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 5th on
#77WTA
1661ELO
1550Grass ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLLLW
Marcinko P.
vs
Zarazua R.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Marcinko P.43%
Zarazua R.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Grass Elo 1452
Surface ELO
6.2+98 Grass Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1704
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1661
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
8.03h22m in 14 days
Minutes 14d
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

19 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Marcinko P.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Zarazua R.

Zarazua R.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Marcinko P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
71
47
Break points saved·Even
54
57
Break points won·Even
95
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
59
Tiebreaks·
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
96

Marcinko P.: 11 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Zarazua R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

5th on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · up next on court

  1. 1Lamens S. v Galfi D.
    6-37-64
  2. 2Timofeeva M. v Zarazua R.
    5-72-6
  3. 3Marcinko P. v Ito A.
    6-24-66-2
  4. 4Masarova R. v Pohankova M.
    6-16-4
  5. 5Marcinko P. v Zarazua R.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.