Jakub Mensik vs Adrian MannarinoLondon Round of 32

London · ATP · Round of 32
#17ATP
1898ELO
1710Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.0MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#46ATP
1653ELO
1651Grass ELO
$445kYTD
$15MCAREER
37 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWLLLLLL

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Mensik J.80%
Mannarino A.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mensik J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+60 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1650
8.1Overall Elo 1898
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1653
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
15°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
62%1st serve in+1%63%
79%1st serve points won+9%70%
49%2nd serve points won49%
68%Service points won+6%62%
35%Return points won35%
66%Break points saved+8%58%
12.2Aces / match+6.75.5
4.1Double faults / match+1.92.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.