Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn — Halle Round of 32

Halle · ATP · Round of 32

RUS

Karen Khachanov

#15ATP

1844ELO

1750Grass ELO

$853kYTD

$23MCAREER

30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

USA

Ethan Quinn

#67ATP

1785ELO

1641Grass ELO

$579kYTD

$1.9MCAREER

22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWLWWWW

Karen Khachanov faces Ethan Quinn in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Karen Khachanov holds the paper edge — ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final.

Key context

Head-to-head: Karen Khachanov leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Paris Masters 2025.
Stage: Karen Khachanov defends last year's semi-final.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC

Khachanov K.65%

Quinn E.35%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Khachanov K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Khachanov K.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Quinn E.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

6.4+110 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.6Grass Elo 1641

5.7Overall Elo 1844

ELO gap

4.3Overall Elo 1785

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

7.77 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.36 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

5.7Won 62% in DEU (29)

Country comfort

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

8.5Reached the semis here last year

Defending pts

6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

1.24

SlowFast

Weather forecast

12°COvercast

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-10-27	Paris Masters	R64	hard	Karen Khachanov	6-1 6-1

Statistics

Recent form

Khachanov K.Quinn E.

66%1st serve in+3%63%

75%1st serve points won+1%74%

53%2nd serve points won+1%52%

68%Service points won+2%66%

34%Return points won+1%33%

66%Break points saved+3%69%

7.9Aces / match+0.27.7

1.7Double faults / match+1.12.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.