Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya

Berlin · WTA · Round of 32

UKR

Elina Svitolina

#8WTA

2068ELO

1835Grass ELO

$2.8MYTD

$29MCAREER

31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWWWWWWW

—

Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

RUS

Anna Kalinskaya

#20WTA

1904ELO

1733Grass ELO

$649kYTD

$6.5MCAREER

27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWWWLWLLW

Elina Svitolina faces Anna Kalinskaya in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Elina Svitolina holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 3–1, a roughly 100-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Head-to-head: Elina Svitolina leads the head-to-head 3–1, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Doha 2026.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC

Svitolina E.80%

Kalinskaya A.20%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Svitolina E.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Kalinskaya A.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Form & Matchup

6.3+102 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Grass Elo 1733

7.2Overall Elo 2068

ELO gap

2.8Overall Elo 1904

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.77 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.37 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

3.0Clay → Grass

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

1.15

SlowFast

Weather forecast

15°COvercast

Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

3–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-02-08	Doha	R16	hard	Anna Kalinskaya	6-4 6-3
2025-07-27	Montreal	R32	hard	Elina Svitolina	6-1 6-1
2025-02-17	Dubai	R64	hard	Elina Svitolina	6-1 6-2
2024-05-06	Rome	R32	clay	Elina Svitolina	6-3 6-3

View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form

Svitolina E.Kalinskaya A.

60%1st serve in+5%65%

69%1st serve points won+6%63%

49%2nd serve points won+2%47%

61%Service points won+4%57%

42%Return points won+2%44%

60%Break points saved+7%53%

4.5Aces / match+2.42.1

3.3Double faults / match+0.72.6

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskaya — Berlin Round of 32