Iva Jovic vs Karolina Pliskova — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCJovic I.46%
Pliskova K.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1743
Surface ELO5.1+7 Grass Elo edge
5.3Overall Elo 1859
ELO gap4.7Overall Elo 1862
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form5.76 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
14°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form61%1st serve in+3%64%
66%1st serve points won66%
50%2nd serve points won+7%43%
60%Service points won+2%58%
44%Return points won+2%42%
59%Break points saved59%
2.5Aces / match+2.34.8
2.1Double faults / match+3.85.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.