Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Yi ZhouDublin Qualifying Final

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#206ATP
1509ELO
1356Grass ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWLLL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#251ATP
1455ELO
1428Grass ELO
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLLLLWLW
Hsu Y.
vs
Zhou Y.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Hsu Y.57%
Zhou Y.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1356
Surface ELO
5.9+72 Grass Elo edge
5.7Overall Elo 1509
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1455
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
1.51 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Hsu Y.Stable
Zhou Y.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hsu Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Zhou Y.

Zhou Y.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Hsu Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
93

Hsu Y.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zhou Y.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on COURT 1 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Kokkinakis T. v Elamin A.
  2. 2Hsu Y. v Zhou Y.This match
  3. 3Onclin G. v Jacquet K.
  4. 4Galarneau A. v Maestrelli F.

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 67%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.