Cruz Hewitt vs Quinn VandecasteeleDublin Qualifying Final

Dublin · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#615ATP
1311ELO
1355Grass ELO
17 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWLLLLL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 3 · 1st on
#468ATP
1397ELO
1382Grass ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLLWLWL
Hewitt C.
vs
Vandecasteele Q.

Cruz Hewitt faces Quinn Vandecasteele in the Dublin qualifying final on grass. Quinn Vandecasteele holds the paper edge — ranked #468, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Hewitt C.22%
Vandecasteele Q.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vandecasteele Q. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1355
Surface ELO
5.3+26 Grass Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1311
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1397
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.23 of last 5 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Hewitt C.Stableearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

6 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.3
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Hewitt C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Vandecasteele Q.

Vandecasteele Q.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hewitt C.

Serve advantage — Vandecasteele Q.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Vandecasteele Q.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on COURT 3 · not before Starts At 11:00 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Hewitt C. v Vandecasteele Q.This match
  2. 2Ficovich J. v Mejia N.

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.