Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukuro — Halle Round of 32

Halle · ATP · Round of 32
Tallon Griekspoor
NED
Tallon Griekspoor
#41ATP
1823ELO
1769Grass ELO
$831kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWLWWL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
Sho Shimabukuro
JPN
Sho Shimabukuro
#104ATP
1605ELO
1566Grass ELO
$163kYTD
$933kCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLWWLL

Tallon Griekspoor faces Sho Shimabukuro in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Tallon Griekspoor holds the paper edge — ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 200-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Sho Shimabukuro carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Head-to-head: Tallon Griekspoor leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Astana 2023.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Griekspoor T.81%
Shimabukuro S.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Griekspoor T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Griekspoor T.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Shimabukuro S.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+203 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Grass Elo 1566
7.7Overall Elo 1823
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1605
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
12°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-25AstanaR16hardTallon Griekspoor7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-1

Statistics

Recent form
Griekspoor T.Shimabukuro S.
63%1st serve in+5%58%
72%1st serve points won72%
53%2nd serve points won+1%54%
65%Service points won+1%64%
35%Return points won+1%36%
63%Break points saved+2%65%
7.6Aces / match+1.46.2
2.9Double faults / match+0.62.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.