Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Darja Semenistaja — Brescia Round of 32
Gorgodze E.
Ekaterine Gorgodze faces Darja Semenistaja in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Darja Semenistaja holds the paper edge — ranked #102, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Semenistaja D. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Ekaterine Gorgodze 1 of 6, Darja Semenistaja 4 of 6 on clay recently — Darja Semenistaja the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Darja Semenistaja carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGorgodze E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Semenistaja D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.