Alexis Galarneau vs Francesco Maestrelli — Dublin Round of 32
Dublin · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#187ATP
1568ELO
1503Grass ELO
$96kYTD
$756kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWLLW
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#126ATP
1561ELO
1426Grass ELO
$254kYTD
$836kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWLLLLLL
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCGalarneau A.65%
Maestrelli F.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Galarneau A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
6.0+77 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO4.0Grass Elo 1426
5.1Overall Elo 1568
ELO gap4.9Overall Elo 1561
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Surface form0.00 of last 8 on grass
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form62%1st serve in+1%63%
68%1st serve points won+4%72%
51%2nd serve points won+4%47%
61%Service points won+2%63%
39%Return points won+5%34%
58%Break points saved+5%63%
2.9Aces / match+2.75.6
4.8Double faults / match+1.43.4
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.