Joao Fonseca vs Yannick HanfmannHalle Round of 32

Halle · ATP · Round of 32
#25ATP
1910ELO
1696Grass ELO
$656kYTD
$3.3MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWLLWLW
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#59ATP
1783ELO
1644Grass ELO
$436kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLWLL

Joao Fonseca faces Yannick Hanfmann in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Joao Fonseca holds the paper edge — ranked #25, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 50-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Stage: Joao Fonseca defends last year's round of 32; Yannick Hanfmann defends last year's round of 32.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Fonseca J.72%
Hanfmann Y.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fonseca J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+53 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Grass Elo 1644
6.6Overall Elo 1910
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1783
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.27 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
4.9Won 49% in DEU (39)
3.0Clay → Grass
Surface transition
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached qualifying here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.24
SlowFast
Weather forecast
12°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
67%1st serve in+4%63%
73%1st serve points won+1%74%
56%2nd serve points won+2%54%
67%Service points won+1%66%
36%Return points won+1%37%
66%Break points saved+6%60%
4.9Aces / match+2.67.5
1.5Double faults / match+0.52

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.