Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

London · ATP · Round of 32

GBR

Cameron Norrie

#29ATP

1850ELO

1746Grass ELO

$839kYTD

$15MCAREER

30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 09:00

grass

ESP

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

#22ATP

1880ELO

1718Grass ELO

$684kYTD

$11MCAREER

27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Cameron Norrie faces Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the London round of 32 on grass. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds the paper edge — ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–0.

Key context

Head-to-head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina leads the head-to-head 2–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Rome Masters 2021.
Fatigue load: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC

Norrie C.46%

Davidovich Fokina A.54%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Norrie C.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Davidovich Fokina A.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.4+28 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.6Grass Elo 1718

4.6Overall Elo 1850

ELO gap

5.4Overall Elo 1880

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

6.46 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

5.45 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

15°CMainly clear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

0–2

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2021-05-10	Rome Masters	R32	clay	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	6-2 6-3
2020-08-31	US Open	R32	hard	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	7-6(2) 4-6 6-2 6-1

View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form

Norrie C.Davidovich Fokina A.

63%1st serve in+7%70%

69%1st serve points won+2%71%

54%2nd serve points won+1%53%

64%Service points won+2%66%

36%Return points won+1%35%

69%Break points saved+5%64%

5.2Aces / match+0.64.6

2.4Double faults / match+0.71.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — London Round of 32