Fiona Ferro vs Kajsa Rinaldo PerssonBrescia Round of 32

Brescia · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#185WTA
1674ELO
1617Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWLLL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#240WTA
1504ELO
1471Clay ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWL
Ferro F.
vs
Rinaldo Persson K.

Fiona Ferro faces Kajsa Rinaldo Persson in the Brescia round of 32 on clay. Fiona Ferro holds the paper edge — ranked #185, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC
Ferro F.86%
Rinaldo Persson K.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ferro F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+146 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1471
6.2Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1504
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

25 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Ferro F.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Rinaldo Persson K.

Rinaldo Persson K.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Ferro F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Ferro F.: 21 days rest · Rinaldo Persson K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.