Janice Tjen vs Leylah Fernandez — Nottingham Round of 32
Nottingham · WTA · Round of 32
INA#40WTA
1741ELO
1620Grass ELO
$489kYTD
$843kCAREER
24 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWLWLL
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#23WTA
1849ELO
1696Grass ELO
$622kYTD
$8.0MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLLLW
Janice Tjen faces Leylah Fernandez in the Nottingham round of 32 on grass. Leylah Fernandez is the paper favourite — ranked #23, defending last year's quarter-final, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage — but Janice Tjen has won both their previous meetings, though none on grass.
Key context
- Head-to-head: Janice Tjen leads the head-to-head 2–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Dubai 2026.
- Stage: Leylah Fernandez defends last year's quarter-final.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCTjen J.24%
Fernandez L.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Fernandez L. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1620
Surface ELO6.0+76 Grass Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1740
ELO gap5.0Overall Elo 1849
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
4.14 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts7.0Reached the quarters here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
14°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%
Head to head
2–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Janice Tjen | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Janice Tjen | 6-2 7-6(1) |
Statistics
Recent form60%1st serve in+1%61%
66%1st serve points won66%
47%2nd serve points won+1%48%
59%Service points won59%
40%Return points won40%
55%Break points saved+10%65%
3.2Aces / match+0.72.5
3.3Double faults / match+1.44.7
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.