Kilian Feldbausch vs Laurent Lokoli — Royan Round of 32
Royan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Kilian Feldbausch faces Laurent Lokoli in the Royan round of 32 on clay. Kilian Feldbausch holds the paper edge — ranked #287, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage.
Key context
- Win streak: Kilian Feldbausch arrives on a 5-match winning run.
- Surface form: Kilian Feldbausch 7 of 10, Laurent Lokoli 5 of 10 on clay recently — Kilian Feldbausch the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Laurent Lokoli carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 00:20 UTCFeldbausch K.70%
Lokoli L.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Feldbausch K. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.6+48 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.4Clay Elo 1456
5.8Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap4.2Overall Elo 1464
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
7.77 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.05 of last 10 on clay
9.05-match win streak
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form72%1st serve in+9%63%
61%1st serve points won+6%67%
49%2nd serve points won+2%47%
57%Service points won+2%59%
47%Return points won+7%40%
54%Break points saved+11%65%
1Aces / match+2.33.3
3Double faults / match+0.93.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.