Ognjen Milic vs Thomas FaurelRoyan Round of 32

Royan · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#358ATP
1427ELO
1448Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LLWWLWWLWL
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
#318ATP
1321ELO
1279Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWWLLWW

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC
Milic O.82%
Faurel T.18%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Milic O. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+169 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1279
6.3Overall Elo 1427
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1320
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
51%1st serve in+12%63%
77%1st serve points won+15%62%
52%2nd serve points won+1%51%
64%Service points won+6%58%
37%Return points won+3%40%
61%Break points saved+4%57%
6.5Aces / match+4.12.4
3.4Double faults / match+1.22.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (15 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.