Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev

Halle · ATP · Round of 32

ARG

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

#30ATP

1848ELO

1603Grass ELO

$1.2MYTD

$6.7MCAREER

26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLWLLWWLWL

—

Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 10:00

grass

RUS

Daniil Medvedev

#8ATP

2008ELO

1883Grass ELO

$2.3MYTD

$52MCAREER

30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWLLWWWLW

Tomas Martin Etcheverry faces Daniil Medvedev in the Halle round of 32 on grass. Daniil Medvedev holds the paper edge — ranked #8, defending last year's final, a roughly 280-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Fatigue load: Daniil Medvedev carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Stage: Tomas Martin Etcheverry defends last year's quarter-final; Daniil Medvedev defends last year's final.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC

Etcheverry T.16%

Medvedev D.84%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Medvedev D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Etcheverry T.

3.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)

Medvedev D.

7.7

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

1.5Grass Elo 1603

Surface ELO

8.5+280 Grass Elo edge

3.0Overall Elo 1848

ELO gap

7.0Overall Elo 2008

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.23 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

6.77 of last 10 on grass

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Country comfort

6.0Won 67% in DEU (21)

3.0Clay → Grass

Surface transition

Context

7.0Reached the quarters here last year

Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

1.24

SlowFast

Weather forecast

12°COvercast

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 82%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Etcheverry T.Medvedev D.

64%1st serve in+3%67%

74%1st serve points won+1%75%

53%2nd serve points won+3%50%

66%Service points won+1%67%

36%Return points won+4%40%

57%Break points saved+8%65%

5Aces / match+0.95.9

2.2Double faults / match+0.62.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Daniil Medvedev — Halle Round of 32