Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala — Berlin Round of 32
Berlin · WTA · Round of 32
—
Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
grass
#33WTA
1839ELO
1720Grass ELO
$634kYTD
$2.0MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLLL
Donna Vekic faces Alexandra Eala in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Alexandra Eala is the paper favourite — ranked #33, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point grass Elo advantage — but Donna Vekic rides a 4-match win streak. Recent grass form is closely matched.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Alexandra Eala carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Alexandra Eala leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Auckland 2026.
- Win streak: Donna Vekic arrives on a 4-match winning run.
- Stage: Donna Vekic defends last year's round of 32.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTCVekic D.43%
Eala A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1687
Surface ELO5.4+33 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1777
ELO gap5.5Overall Elo 1839
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H5.0First meeting on grass
7.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form7.78 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.5Won 59% in DEU (22)
Country comfortContext
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.15
SlowFast
Weather forecast
15°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 71%
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Auckland | R32 | hard | Alexandra Eala | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
Statistics
Recent form61%1st serve in+3%64%
69%1st serve points won+8%61%
46%2nd serve points won+3%49%
60%Service points won+3%57%
43%Return points won43%
56%Break points saved+8%48%
2.7Aces / match+1.80.9
4Double faults / match+1.72.3
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.