Jesper De Jong vs Laslo Djere — Parma Round of 32

Parma · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

NED

Jesper De Jong

#83ATP

1651ELO

1647Clay ELO

$261kYTD

$2.0MCAREER

26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWLWWWLW

—

Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 08:00

clay

SRB

Laslo Djere

#225ATP

1724ELO

1740Clay ELO

31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWWWWWW

Jesper De Jong faces Laslo Djere in the Parma round of 32 on clay. Laslo Djere is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 90-point clay Elo advantage — but Jesper De Jong rides a 4-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Fatigue load: Jesper De Jong carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Laslo Djere leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on clay. Last met at Halle 2025.
Win streak: Jesper De Jong arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Surface form: Jesper De Jong 8 of 10, Laslo Djere 7 of 10 on clay recently — Jesper De Jong the sharper of late.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC

De Jong J.35%

Djere L.65%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Djere L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

De Jong J.

6.4

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Djere L.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.8Clay Elo 1646

Surface ELO

6.2+94 Clay Elo edge

4.1Overall Elo 1651

ELO gap

5.9Overall Elo 1724

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

8.38 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.87 of last 10 on clay

7.04-match win streak

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-06-16	Halle	Q2	grass	Laslo Djere	6-4 6-0

Statistics

Recent form

De Jong J.Djere L.

58%1st serve in+3%61%

70%1st serve points won70%

48%2nd serve points won+7%55%

60%Service points won+4%64%

40%Return points won+1%39%

58%Break points saved+2%60%

6.5Aces / match+3.23.3

4.1Double faults / match+1.82.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.