Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria — Asuncion 2 Round of 32
Asuncion 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
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Sets
Monday, 15 June 2026 ·
clay
Nicolas Kicker faces Federico Coria in the Asuncion 2 round of 32 on clay. Federico Coria is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage — but Nicolas Kicker arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Federico Coria's 4.
Key context
- Surface form: Nicolas Kicker 7 of 10, Federico Coria 4 of 10 on clay recently — Nicolas Kicker the sharper of late.
- Head-to-head: Federico Coria leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Lyon 2018.
- Fatigue load: Federico Coria carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTCKicker N.27%
Coria F.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Coria F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1342
Surface ELO7.5+204 Clay Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1351
ELO gap7.7Overall Elo 1567
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
H2H4.8Split 1–1 on clay
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.44 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-21 | Lyon | R32 | clay | Federico Coria | 4-6 6-1 7-5 |
Statistics
Recent form65%1st serve in+2%67%
66%1st serve points won+4%62%
45%2nd serve points won+1%46%
58%Service points won+1%57%
42%Return points won42%
63%Break points saved+4%59%
1.2Aces / match+0.11.3
1.7Double faults / match+1.83.5
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.