Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilic — London Round of 32

London · ATP · Round of 32

FRA

Ugo Humbert

#33ATP

1851ELO

1712Grass ELO

$775kYTD

$11MCAREER

27 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

LWLWLWWLWL

—

Sets

Monday, 15 June 2026 · 09:00

grass

CRO

Marin Cilic

#47ATP

1811ELO

1776Grass ELO

$627kYTD

$33MCAREER

37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWWLLLWLLW

Ugo Humbert faces Marin Cilic in the London round of 32 on grass. Ugo Humbert holds the paper edge — ranked #33, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Fatigue load: Marin Cilic carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Ugo Humbert leads the head-to-head 1–0, but this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Paris Masters 2020.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:20 UTC

Humbert U.50%

Cilic M.50%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Humbert U.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Cilic M.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.2Grass Elo 1712

Surface ELO

5.8+65 Grass Elo edge

5.5Overall Elo 1851

ELO gap

4.5Overall Elo 1811

5.0First meeting on grass

H2H

5.0First meeting on grass

4.75 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.68 of last 10 on grass

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed

Fastbig serves, short points

SlowFast

Weather forecast

15°CMainly clear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2020-11-02	Paris Masters	R16	hard	Ugo Humbert	6-3 6-7(4) 6-3

Statistics

Recent form

Humbert U.Cilic M.

61%1st serve in+4%57%

76%1st serve points won+5%81%

54%2nd serve points won+4%50%

67%Service points won+1%68%

32%Return points won+3%35%

67%Break points saved67%

7Aces / match+4.111.1

2.4Double faults / match+0.83.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.